Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000182 0.000201 0.000223 0.000247 0.000275 0.000305 0.000340
2025-05-25 0.000145 0.000173 0.000206 0.000247 0.000298 0.000360 0.000439
2025-06-01 0.000121 0.000152 0.000191 0.000244 0.000313 0.000403 0.000528
2025-06-08 0.000102 0.000135 0.000176 0.000236 0.000318 0.000431 0.000599
2025-06-15 0.000093 0.000126 0.000171 0.000239 0.000337 0.000478 0.000701
2025-06-22 0.000085 0.000120 0.000169 0.000243 0.000358 0.000530 0.000817
2025-06-29 0.000077 0.000111 0.000160 0.000238 0.000362 0.000558 0.000898
2025-07-06 0.000068 0.000100 0.000149 0.000228 0.000357 0.000568 0.000951
2025-07-13 0.000063 0.000096 0.000145 0.000228 0.000370 0.000609 0.001062
2025-07-20 0.000060 0.000092 0.000143 0.000232 0.000387 0.000658 0.001196
2025-07-27 0.000056 0.000088 0.000139 0.000230 0.000395 0.000692 0.001304
2025-08-03 0.000053 0.000085 0.000138 0.000234 0.000413 0.000747 0.001463
2025-08-10 0.000050 0.000081 0.000134 0.000233 0.000423 0.000791 0.001612
2025-08-17 0.000046 0.000077 0.000130 0.000232 0.000432 0.000834 0.001769
2025-08-24 0.000043 0.000073 0.000125 0.000228 0.000438 0.000871 0.001920
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000068 0.000118 0.000220 0.000433 0.000885 0.002019
2025-09-07 0.000038 0.000066 0.000117 0.000223 0.000450 0.000950 0.002256
2025-09-14 0.000036 0.000064 0.000117 0.000228 0.000472 0.001028 0.002542
2025-09-21 0.000034 0.000061 0.000112 0.000223 0.000472 0.001056 0.002702
2025-09-28 0.000031 0.000057 0.000106 0.000213 0.000460 0.001052 0.002774
2025-10-05 0.000030 0.000055 0.000104 0.000214 0.000473 0.001112 0.003041
2025-10-12 0.000029 0.000054 0.000104 0.000217 0.000491 0.001189 0.003379
2025-10-19 0.000027 0.000052 0.000101 0.000215 0.000498 0.001236 0.003635